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polls
May 21, 2019

A new CBS News poll finds that two-thirds of Americans do not want Roe v. Wade overturned, with 48 percent saying they would be angry if it were reversed.

The poll was conducted via telephone May 17 to 20, after Alabama passed the nation's strictest abortion law; the goal of anti-abortion lawmakers is to get a case to the Supreme Court so the justices can revisit Roe v. Wade. The poll shows that 26 percent of Americans would be satisfied if Roe v. Wade were overturned, while 23 percent don't think it would matter very much. Split by gender, 69 percent of women and 65 percent of men think Roe v. Wade should be kept as is, and 38 percent of women said they would be angry if it were overturned, compared to 24 percent of men.

Among Republicans, 45 percent say Roe v. Wade should be kept as is, while 48 percent want it overturned; 87 percent of Democrats say keep it as is, compared to 11 percent who want to see it overturned. Of the Republicans polled, 48 percent think abortion should be available but limited, while 16 percent think abortion should be generally available and 34 percent think it should be prohibited. On the Democratic side, 66 percent think abortion should be generally available, 20 percent think it should be available but limited, and 12 percent think it should not be permitted.

Pollsters spoke with a random sample of 1,101 adults nationwide. The margin of error is plus or minus four percentage points. Catherine Garcia

November 26, 2018

A Gallup poll released Monday shows that six in 10 Americans do not approve of the job President Trump is doing, the fourth time his disapproval rating has hit 60 percent.

His approval rating is at 38 percent, down 5 percentage points from last week. Trump's disapproval rating was last at 60 percent in December 2017, around the time he endorsed Alabama Senate candidate Roy Moore, and it was also at 60 percent the week after the white supremacist rally in Charlottesville in August 2017. Gallup surveyed about 1,500 adults, and the poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. Catherine Garcia

October 11, 2018

A new NBC News/Marist poll of Wisconsin voters released Thursday finds Republican Gov. Scott Walker (R) behind his Democratic opponent, Tony Evers.

Among likely voters, Evers leads Walker by 10 points, 53 percent to 43 percent, in a head-to-head matchup. Among registered voters, his lead drops to 9 points, 52 percent to 43 percent. In July's NBC/Marist poll, Evers had a 13-point lead. Evers is ahead with Democrats, nonwhite voters, women, and independents, while Walker leads among Republicans, whites without a college degree, and men.

Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) is ahead of her GOP challenger Leah Vukmir among likely voters, 54 percent to 40 percent. A Marquette Law School poll released Wednesday has Baldwin leading Vukmir 53 percent to 43 percent, and in a bit of good news for Walker, that poll puts him ahead of Evers by 1 point among likely voters, 47 percent to 46 percent.

The NBC/Marist poll was conducted via landline and cellphones from Sept. 30 through Oct. 3, among 943 adults (margin of error of plus-minus 3.7 percentage points), 781 registered voters (plus-minus 4.1 points), and 571 likely voters (plus-minus 4.8 points). Catherine Garcia

November 16, 2017

A new Fox News poll released Thursday shows Democrat Doug Jones leading Republican Roy Moore by 8 percentage points in the Alabama Senate race.

In the poll, 50 percent of likely voters surveyed and 49 percent of registered voters in the deeply conservative state said they would vote for Jones, while 42 percent of likely voters surveyed and 40 percent of registered voters said they support Moore. The poll was conducted Nov. 13 through 15, after several women came forward with allegations of sexual misconduct against Moore, saying when they were teenagers and he was in his early 30s, he made sexual advances or pursued relationships with them. Jones' lead is outside the poll's margin of sampling error of ±3.5 percentage points.

A Fox News poll conducted in mid-October had the candidates tied, and Moore was once favored to win the Dec. 12 special election for the seat once held by Attorney General Jeff Sessions. Top Republicans, including Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), have been calling on Moore to drop out of the race, but he has refused, calling the accusations against him false. The usually loquacious President Trump has yet to comment on the accusations against Moore. Catherine Garcia

August 21, 2017

A new ABC News/Washington Post poll finds that in the wake of the deadly Charlottesville white supremacist rally, 37 percent of Americans approve of President Trump's job performance while 58 percent disapprove.

When it comes to how Trump responded to the incidents in Charlottesville, just 28 percent approve and 56 percent do not. The poll also found that 9 percent of respondents, the equivalent of 22 million Americans, believe it is acceptable to hold white supremacist or neo-Nazi views, and 10 percent support the alt-right movement, while 50 percent oppose it. The poll, a random sample of 1,014 adults, was conducted Aug. 16-20 in English and Spanish, on landlines and cell phones. The margin of sampling error is ±3.5 percentage points. Catherine Garcia

May 8, 2017

A new HuffPost/YouGov poll has found that just 31 percent of Americans approve of the Republicans' health-care bill, the American Health Care Act, that narrowly passed the House last week and has been sent to the Senate for consideration.

The bill to repeal the Affordable Care Act is opposed by 44 percent of Americans, with 25 percent saying they are unsure. Of those surveyed, 39 percent said the AHCA would likely be worse than the ACA, and 26 percent said it would be better. The poll was conducted online on May 6, surveying 1,000 adults. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percent. Catherine Garcia

March 15, 2017

A Fox News Poll released Wednesday shows that Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), Planned Parenthood, ObamaCare, and Vice President Mike Pence are all viewed more favorably than President Trump.

The poll of 1,008 registered voters was conducted March 12 to 14. It found that 43 percent approve and 51 percent disapprove of the job Trump is doing as president, with 30 percent strongly approving and 45 percent strongly disapproving. Respondents were also asked to say if they had a favorable or unfavorable opinion of several people, groups, and items, and Sanders came out on top, with 61 percent having a favorable reaction and 32 percent unfavorable, followed by Planned Parenthood (57 percent favorable, 32 percent unfavorable); ObamaCare (50 percent favorable, 47 percent unfavorable); and Pence (47 percent favorable, 43 percent unfavorable). Only 44 percent had a favorable view of Trump, while 53 percent had an unfavorable view.

If Trump were to do only one thing during his presidency, 33 percent want him to create jobs, 23 percent want him to destroy the Islamic State, 10 percent want him to cut taxes, 9 percent would like to see him repeal and replace ObamaCare, 3 percent want him to reduce federal regulations, and 3 percent want him to build a border wall. The participants were also asked about Trump's use of Twitter, and only 16 percent approved, with 50 percent disapproving and 32 percent wishing he would be more cautious. The poll has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. Catherine Garcia

October 3, 2016

A new CNN/ORC poll released Monday shows Hillary Clinton with a 5-point lead over Donald Trump in a four-way contest.

The survey of likely voters was conducted after the first presidential debate last week, and Clinton is ahead of Trump 47 percent to 42 percent, followed by Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson at 7 percent and the Green Party's Jill Stein at 2 percent. Clinton has made gains among men, going from a 22 point deficit in early September to just 5 points, and independent voters — in early September, they favored Trump, but now it's Clinton, 44 percent to 37 percent.

Most of the interviews were completed before The New York Times reported about Trump's 1995 tax returns over the weekend, and nearly 75 percent of survey participants, including 47 percent of Trump's supporters, said they believe he should release his tax returns. The poll was conducted by telephone Sept. 28 through Oct. 2 among a random national sample of 1,501 adults. Results among the 1,213 likely voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. Catherine Garcia

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